ProbSense is an AI research copilot for crypto and prediction-market traders. It turns live market data, exchange order flow and market rules into fee-aware fair odds, plain-language risk warnings and honestly tested strategies.
Request early accessRetail traders on crypto exchanges and prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) trade against professionals with better data and faster tools. Most lose not because they pick the wrong side, but because they overpay: fees, spreads, misread rules and late "sure-thing" entries quietly destroy their edge. Existing tools show prices — none tell you whether a price is actually worth paying.
Claude-powered agents read the market the way a professional research desk would — and explain it in plain language.
Paste any market or pair. Get fair probability, fee and spread impact, flip risk near expiry, historical base rates and a clear verdict: overpriced, fair or cheap.
Compares the same event or asset across prediction markets and crypto exchanges in real time — prices, funding, basis and liquidity — and flags gaps that survive fees.
Two markets can look identical and settle differently. Claude reads the full rules, oracle and index definitions and warns when "the same bet" is not the same.
Describe a strategy in plain words. ProbSense builds and runs a fee-aware, no-look-ahead backtest with a true out-of-sample holdout — so you see what actually works, not curve-fit hype.
Live digest of spot and perpetual order flow, open interest, liquidations and momentum across major exchanges, summarised into what matters for your open position.
Real-time alerts in English and Turkish, plus protective rules ("this late favourite is overpriced") that help users avoid the most common losing trades.
ProbSense is built and run by a team of AI agents with Claude at the centre.
Claude plans research, reads market rules, writes and reviews code, interprets results and writes every user-facing explanation.
An open-source agent framework lets Claude delegate parallel work (data backfills, backtests, audits) to specialised sub-agents and combine their findings.
Every strategy passes leakage checks, fee modelling and a one-shot holdout before it is shown to users. Agents are rewarded for finding what does not work.
ProbSense grew out of our own research infrastructure for short-horizon crypto markets.
We are onboarding a small group of early traders.
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